"The evolving dynamics of the UK's rental market underscore the resilience and adaptability of the sector amidst changing economic landscapes. The moderation in rental growth, combined with a significant increase in supply, offers a glimmer of relief for tenants"
- Nicky Stevenson - Fine & Country
The UK's rental market is experiencing a slowdown in inflation, according to recent data.
Nicky Stevenson, Managing Director of Fine & Country comments: “Rental growth has moderated to +7.5%, a decrease from +9.8% recorded a year ago. The cooling trend in rental inflation is evident across the UK, with London witnessing the most substantial deceleration.
"Despite a slight uptick of 0.9% in rents in March, based on Hometrack data, rental demand has diminished by a fifth over the past year. Contributing factors include the waning effects of the pandemic, a slowdown in the labour market, and enticing lower mortgage rates for first-time buyers, as reported by Zoopla."
Supply dynamics
In a positive turn, the supply of rental properties is on the rise. Propertymark’s latest Housing Insight Report reveals a 29% surge in available rental properties, marking an 18-month peak. Yet, the persistent demand-supply imbalance suggests that rental prices are likely to sustain their upward trajectory.
Prime markets
According to Stevenson, February saw a reduction in the average void period to 18 days from 22 days in January, marking an 18% decline. All UK regions, barring the South West, observed shorter void periods, as per Goodlord data.
She notes that since the pandemic, rents have escalated by an average of 29%, pushing a significant number of properties into higher price brackets. Currently, 51% of rented properties in the UK are located in areas where the average rent exceeds £1,000 per month – nearly double the figures from five years ago, according to Zoopla.
In the prime rental segment, the average rent stands at £3,950, reflecting a 2.1% year-on-year increase. The South West emerges as the frontrunner in prime rental growth, witnessing a robust 14.7% annual surge.
Stevenson says: “The evolving dynamics of the UK's rental market underscore the resilience and adaptability of the sector amidst changing economic landscapes. The moderation in rental growth, combined with a significant increase in supply, offers a glimmer of relief for tenants.
She concludes: "However, the persistent demand-supply imbalance remains a dominant force, ensuring that the upward pressure on rents persists. As the market continues to mature post-pandemic, we anticipate further adjustments to cater to evolving tenant needs and preferences."
