The latest Property Tracker report from the Building Societies Association highlights that people now think the cost of a mortgage is the biggest obstacle to buying a property when asked to choose their top three barriers.
Impact of Bank Rate rises
Since the first Property Tracker in 2008, raising a deposit has almost always been the biggest barrier to home buying, dropping to second place during the COVID-19 pandemic, when lack of job security was noted as the biggest obstacle.
However, since the Bank of England began hiking interest rates in December 2021, the affordability of monthly mortgage payments as a barrier has grown substantially. Almost three-quarters (71%) of people now cite this when asked for their top three barriers, making it the biggest blocker to home buying. In December 2021, significantly fewer people (39%) mentioned the affordability of mortgage payments as a barrier to buying a home.
Raising a deposit continues to be a significant obstacle to buying a residential property for a majority of people (60%). However less than one in five think a lack of job security (19%) and concern about house prices falling (18%) would prevent them from buying a new home.
Affordability concerns
When homeowners were asked about the affordability of their monthly mortgage payments over the next six months, the majority did not express any concern about keeping up with their housing costs.
87% of mortgage borrowers who gave an answer are not worried about keeping up with their mortgage payments. 10% are not confident to some extent about maintaining their mortgage payments over the next six months, of which 3% are not at all confident. These figures are unchanged from June and the same as September 2022.
Those who rent their home are a little less assured, with 74% feeling confident about meeting their housing costs.
Market sentiment
Sentiment in the housing market remains low but stable. The proportion of people who think now is a good time to buy a property is just 17%, around the same as it was six months ago.
Those who specifically think now is not a good time to buy a new home is considerably higher at 44%, rising to 68% of those who would be first-time homebuyers.
House prices
Market experts are forecasting further house price falls over the coming months. It’s not surprising therefore that 39% of respondents think prices will go down in the next 12 months. However, this is considerably less than in December 2022, when 49% thought a price fall was likely. 20% are expecting house prices to rise over the coming year.
Paul Broadhead, Head of Mortgage and Housing Policy at the BSA said: “Following 13 consecutive Bank Rate rises it’s no surprise that concerns around mortgage affordability have grown, and it is now the biggest obstacle for would-be homebuyers.
"It is, however, encouraging that the vast majority of homeowners still remain confident that they can maintain their mortgage payments. As inflation figures have finally started to abate, many of these people will now be hoping for the long-awaited respite from rising interest rates.
“Sentiment in the housing market has stabilised, though it remains weak. But we still have some way to go before real confidence returns to the market, particularly as such a high proportion of first-time buyers do not think now is a good time to get on the property ladder.
Paul concluded: “Lenders remain conscious that there are a number of families and individuals for whom meeting their mortgage payments is a real worry. They are ready and well equipped to offer practical, tailored support to anyone who may be struggling and would encourage anyone with concerns to contact them as soon as possible, preferably before they miss any payments.”
